In a high-stakes UEFA Nations League showdown, Belgium hosts Italy at Stade Roi Baudouin, Brussels, where only a win will keep Belgium’s hopes of progressing alive.
Italy, on the other hand, needs just a draw to secure their place in the quarter-finals, continuing their impressive run under Luciano Spalletti’s guidance.
Belgium Recent Form
Belgium enters this match with a mixed Nations League record. Despite a strong 3-1 win over Israel earlier in the campaign, they’ve struggled to secure consistent results, including a recent 2-1 loss to France.
Sitting third in their group, Belgium must overcome Italy, whom they haven’t beaten in a competitive match since 1972, to avoid relegation threats.
Injury and Team News
Belgium faces a depleted lineup, with key players Kevin De Bruyne, Thomas Meunier, and Youri Tielemans out due to injuries.
Romelu Lukaku’s return offers hope, while new call-ups like Juventus prospect Samuel Mbangula will try to fill the gaps.
Italy Recent Form
Italy’s Nations League journey has been a turnaround story after a shaky Euro campaign. They sit atop the group, largely due to solid performances and wins over France and Israel.
With an adaptable young squad, they aim to continue their dominant run and secure qualification with a strong result here.
Injury and Team News
Italy also has a few players sidelined, including Riccardo Calafiori and long-term absentees Scamacca and Scalvini.
Midfielder Manuel Locatelli steps in, while Moise Kean’s recent club form puts him in contention alongside Mateo Retegui in attack.
Belgium Player To Watch
Romelu Lukaku returns to lead Belgium’s attack and is the focal point of their offensive efforts. His experience and familiarity with Italy’s defensive style may give Belgium an edge.
Italy Player To Watch
Italy’s Mateo Retegui has been in excellent form, contributing crucial goals. The top scorer in Serie A, Retegui will look to capitalise on Belgium’s defensive weaknesses.
Prediction
A closely fought draw seems likely, with Belgium battling hard but potentially falling short against an organised Italian side.
Our prediction: Belgium 1-1 Italy
Betting Tips
Tip 1: Draw
Given the stakes and Italy’s defensive stability, a draw at 1-1 looks like a reasonable outcome.
Tip 2: Both Teams to Score
Belgium’s urgency to win and Italy’s counter-attacking prowess should lead to goals on both ends.
Tip 3: Lukaku to Score Anytime
Romelu Lukaku’s scoring record and familiarity with Serie A players give him strong odds of finding the net.
