1 - 2
-
Full Time

Match preview

Chile vs Brazil Prediction: World Cup Qualifying

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Chile and Brazil this week.

 
10:15am on Wednesday 9th October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Brazil and Chile clash in a high-stakes 2026 World Cup qualifier. Brazil, under pressure with an unusual poor run, seek to solidify their place, while Chile face potential elimination after years of disappointment. Both teams come in desperate for points.

Brazil Recent Form

Brazil have been struggling, with only two wins in their last nine competitive fixtures. They sit fifth in the group with 10 points, dangerously close to missing World Cup qualification, especially after their recent 1-0 loss to Paraguay.

With a defence weakened by injuries and inconsistent performances, they must find a way to steady their ship.

Injury and Team News

Brazil's squad is hampered by key absences. Goalkeeper Alisson is out due to a hamstring injury, meaning Ederson will start. Vinicius Junior is also missing with a neck injury, but Endrick and Rodrygo will lead the attack.

Defensive injuries also plague Brazil, with Bremer, Eder Militao, and Guilherme Arana sidelined, leaving Gabriel Magalhaes to anchor the backline.

Last Brazil Lineup

Here is how Brazil lined up for their last match:

Ederson; Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Alex Telles; Andre, Bruno Guimaraes, Lucas Paqueta; Raphinha, Endrick, Rodrygo.

Chile Recent Form

Chile are in dire straits, sitting ninth with just five points. They have only managed one win in the qualifiers, against bottom-placed Peru. Their 3-0 loss to Argentina and a shocking home defeat to Bolivia indicate a team in turmoil, still struggling under new coach Ricardo Gareca.

Injury and Team News

Chile are missing several veteran players. Mauricio Isla and Gabriel Arias have been dropped, with younger talent filling in. Ben Brereton Diaz, struggling for form, is also absent, while Alexis Sanchez remains sidelined due to injury.

Last Chile Lineup

Here is how Chile lined up for their last match:

Cortes; Hormazabal, Maripan, Paulo Diaz, Galdames; Valdes, Osorio, Echeverria, Pulgar; Vargas, Davila.

Brazil Player To Watch

Rodrygo will be crucial for Brazil, especially with Vinicius Junior out. As part of Brazil's attacking trio, the Real Madrid forward's pace and creativity will be vital in breaking down Chile’s defence.

23 yrs - F (CR) - Real Madrid
87 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
600
Played matches
8
3
1
Shots P90
1.74
Shots On target P90
0.73
Successful passing %
90%
Final third passes P90
22.06

Chile Player To Watch

Diego Valdes will be key for Chile in this match. The attacking midfielder has been one of the few bright spots in their struggling campaign, offering creativity and a goal threat from midfield. His ability to unlock defences with his vision and passing will be vital if Chile are to challenge Brazil’s defence.

Prediction

Given Brazil’s superior record against Chile and their desperate need for points, expect a determined performance from the Selecao. Chile's recent struggles and lack of cohesion make it unlikely they will pose much of a threat. We predict Brazil will win 2-0.

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Brazil to win – Chile’s form is poor, and Brazil have a strong head-to-head advantage.

Tip 2

Under 2.5 goals – Despite Brazil’s attacking talent, both teams have struggled to score in recent games.

Tip 3

Rodrygo to score anytime – With Vinicius out, Rodrygo is expected to step up as a key offensive player.

Match statistics

Chile
Statistics
Brazil
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
3
10
Draws
6
3
Losses
11
7
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
13
31
Goals Per Game
0.65
1.55
More > 2.5 Goals
9
6
More > 3 Goals
5
4
Scored First in a Match
4
14
Scored Both Halves
3
3
Won More > 1 Goal
1
6
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
31
14
Did Not Score
12
6
Both Teams Scored
6
8
Kept Clean Sheet
6
8
Won Without Conceding
2
6
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
11
14
Shots on Target
3.33
5.24
Goals out of Shots
0.04
0.08
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
1.33
1.82
Penalties
0.00
0.20
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.30
0.40
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.00
0.00
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
13
8.71
Shots on Target Conceded
5.64
3.54
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.12
0.10
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
13
13
Yellow Cards
2.50
2.00
Red Cards
0.05
0.05