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Wales vs Montenegro Prediction: UEFA Nations League

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between IWales vs Montenegro this week.

 
1:11pm on Monday 14th October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Wales take on Montenegro in the UEFA Nations League at Cardiff City Stadium, with both teams looking to achieve different goals: Wales pushing for promotion, and Montenegro aiming to avoid relegation from League B Group 4. Wales will want to secure maximum points, while Montenegro fights to break their poor run of form.

Wales Recent Form

Wales come into this fixture on the back of a 2-2 draw against Iceland, where they let a two-goal lead slip in Reykjavik. Despite the draw, they have performed well under Craig Bellamy's leadership, remaining unbeaten in their last four Nations League matches.

They currently sit second in Group 4 with five points, just two points behind Turkey, the group leaders. With a win against Montenegro, Wales could strengthen their chances of topping the group and securing promotion to League A.

Injury and Team News

Wales will have to make key changes due to suspensions and injuries. Brennan Johnson and Jordan James are both suspended after picking up bookings in the previous game. Ethan Ampadu, Dan James, and Aaron Ramsey are also out due to injury.

Joe Allen, who reversed his international retirement, could feature in the starting lineup, while Harry Wilson is expected to continue his good form for Wales, having contributed to goals in recent matches.

Last Wales Lineup

Montenegro Recent Form

Montenegro’s recent form has been poor, suffering five consecutive defeats, including a 1-0 loss to Turkey in their last outing. They are rooted to the bottom of Group 4 without a point, and relegation to League C seems likely unless they can turn things around in their remaining fixtures.

Their last win came in early 2024, and the team will be desperate to break their losing streak against Wales.

Injury and Team News

Montenegro are expected to stick with their usual front pairing of Stevan Jovetić and Nikola Krstović.

They will, however, be without defensive leader Stefan Savić, who is sidelined with an injury. Milutin Osmajic, despite being banned in domestic football, could make an appearance for the national team from the bench.

Last Montenegro Lineup

Here is how Montenegro lined up for their last match:

Wales Player to Watch

Harry Wilson has been in excellent form for Wales, contributing to several goals in his last few appearances. With the absence of Brennan Johnson and Dan James, Wilson's creativity and goal-scoring ability will be crucial in unlocking Montenegro's defence.

27 yrs - AM (RC) - Fulham
68
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
260
Played matches
3
2
1
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Montenegro Player to Watch

Stevan Jovetić is Montenegro’s talisman, and with his experience, he will be key to their chances. Despite their struggles, he remains a dangerous forward who could cause problems for Wales.

34 yrs - S (C) - Omónoia
N/A
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
180
Played matches
3
0
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Prediction

Wales are in better form and should have enough firepower to see off Montenegro, who are struggling both offensively and defensively. The home side are expected to secure a narrow 1-0 victory.

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Wales to Win - Given Montenegro’s poor form and Wales’ solid record at home, backing a Wales victory seems a safe bet.

Tip 2

Under 2.5 Goals - With both teams struggling for goals in recent matches, a low-scoring affair is likely.

Tip 3

Harry Wilson Anytime Scorer - Wilson is in excellent form and could be a key goal-scoring outlet for Wales in the absence of other attackers.

Match statistics

Wales
Statistics
Montenegro
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
5
6
Draws
7
3
Losses
8
11
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
23
18
Goals Per Game
1.15
0.90
More > 2.5 Goals
8
7
More > 3 Goals
4
3
Scored First in a Match
8
8
Scored Both Halves
4
3
Won More > 1 Goal
2
3
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
27
25
Did Not Score
6
8
Both Teams Scored
12
7
Kept Clean Sheet
4
6
Won Without Conceding
2
5
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
12
12
Shots on Target
3.90
3.89
Goals out of Shots
0.11
0.08
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
1.93
2.31
Penalties
0.15
0.00
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.20
0.30
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.05
0.00
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
13
12
Shots on Target Conceded
3.84
4.11
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.10
0.11
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
13
Yellow Cards
2.40
2.90
Red Cards
0.15
0.00