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Serbia vs Denmark Prediction: UEFA Nations League

Here is our preview and prediction for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Serbia and Denmark taking place tonight.

 
10:29am on Monday 18th November 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Monday evening's UEFA Nations League fixture between Serbia and Denmark holds significant importance, with both teams competing for a place in the competition's quarter-finals.

Serbia, currently third in Group A4, must secure a win to overtake Denmark and claim second place, while Denmark can advance with just a draw. The match will take place at Gradski Stadion Dubocica in Leskovac, Serbia tonight.

Serbia Recent Form

Serbia come into this match after a 1-1 draw with Switzerland, a game that saw them conceding an equaliser late in the game. Despite having goal-scoring talents like Dusan Vlahovic and Aleksandar Mitrovic, Serbia have only managed to score three goals in five games.

Their Nations League campaign has been inconsistent, with a record of one win, two draws, and two losses. To make history by reaching the knockout stage, Serbia will need to bring greater intensity and precision against the Danes tonight.

Injury and Team News

Serbia may be without some key players. Luka Jovic is expected to remain sidelined with a hernia, and midfielder Ivan Ilic is also out due to a knee injury.

Meanwhile, influential midfielder Sergej Milinkovic-Savic has been excluded from this month’s squad, with his brother, Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, also unavailable after he chose to be withdrawn from the squad.

Head coach Dragan Stojkovic will likely rely on Nemanja Gudelj and Nemanja Maksimovic in midfield to bolster the team's chances.

Denmark Recent Form

Denmark currently sit second in Group A4, with seven points from five matches. Despite a recent loss to Spain (1-2), they remain in contention for the Nations League quarter-finals.

Denmark has shown more attacking efficiency than Serbia, having scored double the goals of their opponents. Their history against Serbia gives them a slight psychological advantage, as they have won three of their last four encounters without conceding a goal.

Injury and Team News

New head coach Brian Riemer has some key decisions to make, particularly in attack. Manchester United's Rasmus Hojlund has not yet found consistent form, and the starting striker role may go to either Kasper Dolberg or Yussuf Poulsen.

Gustav Isaksen, who scored in the match against Spain, and Christian Eriksen are likely to support the forward line. Captain Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg is expected to control the midfield alongside Morten Hjulmand.

Serbia Player to Watch

Aleksandar Mitrovic: With his strength and aerial ability, Serbia’s all-time top scorer remains pivotal for the side. The Fulham striker is known for his relentless pressing and holds 59 international goals. His partnership with Vlahovic will be essential in breaking down Denmark’s defence.

59
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
243
Played matches
3
1
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Denmark Player to Watch

Christian Eriksen: The Manchester United midfielder continues to orchestrate Denmark's attacks with his experience and vision. In Riemer’s setup, Eriksen often takes a more advanced role, making him a constant threat in the final third.

32 yrs - DM, AM (C) - Man Utd
73
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
284
Played matches
4
2
2
Shots P90
1.07
Shots On target P90
0.53
Successful passing %
90%
Final third passes P90
18.64

Prediction

A tight game is expected, with Denmark likely to hold Serbia to a 1-1 draw. The hosts may struggle against Denmark's well-organised defence, especially with their inconsistent scoring form.

Betting Tips

Tip 1: Both Teams to Score

Serbia’s reliance on counter-attacks and Denmark’s balanced approach suggest both sides will find the net.

Tip 2: Under 2.5 Goals

Given Serbia’s goal struggles and Denmark’s solid defence, a low-scoring game seems likely.

Tip 3: Draw as a Result

With Denmark only needing a draw to advance, they may aim to control the tempo and settle for a point.

Match statistics

Serbia
Statistics
Denmark
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
6
9
Draws
7
5
Losses
7
6
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
26
28
Goals Per Game
1.30
1.40
More > 2.5 Goals
8
8
More > 3 Goals
5
5
Scored First in a Match
7
11
Scored Both Halves
6
7
Won More > 1 Goal
6
5
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
25
20
Did Not Score
6
5
Both Teams Scored
10
10
Kept Clean Sheet
6
6
Won Without Conceding
4
5
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
11
14
Shots on Target
3.53
4.60
Goals out of Shots
0.11
0.10
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
2.33
1.93
Penalties
0.00
0.00
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.30
0.30
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.00
0.00
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
12
8.60
Shots on Target Conceded
4.35
3.22
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.13
0.12
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
12
10
Yellow Cards
2.50
1.95
Red Cards
0.05
0.00

Suspended

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