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Match preview

Poland vs Scotland Prediction: UEFA Nations League

Here is our preview and prediction for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Poland and Scotland taking place tonight.

 
10:19am on Monday 18th November 2024
By
Jake Skudder

As both Poland and Scotland prepare to face off in their final UEFA Nations League group stage match, both teams have critical incentives. Poland looks to avoid relegation with a home fixture advantage, while Scotland seek a win to bolster their slim hopes for quarter-final qualification.

Poland's Recent Form

Poland have struggled defensively in recent matches, notably conceding five goals to Portugal, despite a relatively resilient first half.

They currently have only one group victory, a hard-fought 3-2 over Scotland in their previous encounter, and they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 games.

Injury and Team News

Poland will be without star striker Robert Lewandowski due to a back injury, a significant blow to their offensive strength. Arkadiusz Milik is also out, meaning Piotr Zielinski will captain the team.

Krzysztof Piatek and Karol Swiderski are expected to lead the attack, with Jan Bednarek and Jakub Kiwior forming the core of Poland's defence.

Scotland's Recent Form

Scotland recently ended a long winless streak with a narrow 1-0 victory over Croatia. With their UEFA Nations League future at stake, Scotland will aim for at least a draw in Warsaw to avoid automatic relegation.

In their last five games, they have managed just one win and two draws, struggling with consistency.

Injury and Team News

Scotland are expected to field a similar lineup to the one that defeated Croatia. Teenage winger Ben Doak could play an instrumental role, having assisted the decisive goal in the side's last game.

The striker position is still in question, with Tommy Conway, Lyndon Dykes, and Lawrence Shankland all contending for the starting spot.

Poland Player To Watch

Piotr Zielinski will be a key player for Poland, filling Lewandowski’s absence as captain and anchoring the midfield. His experience and playmaking abilities could be crucial against Scotland's disciplined defence.

30 yrs - M (C) - Inter
74
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
398
Played matches
5
2
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Scotland Player To Watch

Ben Doak has emerged as an impactful player for Scotland. His creativity on the wing has proven vital, and he could be decisive in breaking down Poland's defence, especially with his recent assist against Croatia.

Prediction

Given Poland's defensive frailties and Scotland’s struggle with finishing, this clash could be tightly contested. Poland's home advantage and a well-settled lineup could give them a slight edge.

Our Prediction: Poland 2-1 Scotland.

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Both Teams to Score: Poland has conceded regularly, and Scotland will likely find opportunities.

Tip 2

Over 2.5 Goals: Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, making for a potentially high-scoring game.

Tip 3

Poland to Win: With the home advantage and a motivated squad, Poland might narrowly secure the victory.

Match statistics

Poland
Statistics
Scotland
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
6
9
Draws
4
5
Losses
10
6
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
27
33
Goals Per Game
1.35
1.65
More > 2.5 Goals
10
12
More > 3 Goals
9
5
Scored First in a Match
9
9
Scored Both Halves
4
5
Won More > 1 Goal
3
6
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
36
24
Did Not Score
4
4
Both Teams Scored
13
10
Kept Clean Sheet
4
8
Won Without Conceding
4
6
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
14
9.80
Shots on Target
4.72
3.33
Goals out of Shots
0.09
0.20
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
1.47
2.18
Penalties
0.25
0.10
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.20
0.40
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.05
0.00
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
12
12
Shots on Target Conceded
5.05
4.56
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.19
0.09
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
12
11
Yellow Cards
2.05
1.90
Red Cards
0.00
0.05