Iceland ISL Tómasson (69'), Ward (OG 72')
2 - 2
-
Full Time
Wales WAL Johnson (11'), Wilson (29')

Match preview

Iceland vs Wales Prediction: UEFA Nations League

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Iceland and Wales this week.

 
9:28am on Wednesday 9th October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Iceland and Wales face off in an important UEFA Nations League clash on 11th October 2024. Both teams are aiming for a top-two finish in Group 4, and this match at Laugardalsvöllur in Reykjavik could prove decisive in their campaigns.

Iceland are hoping to bounce back after a 3-1 loss to Turkey, while Wales come into the game off a hard-fought 2-1 win over Montenegro.

Iceland Recent Form

Iceland kicked off their UEFA Nations League campaign on a high with a 2-0 home win over Montenegro, showing strong defence and attack. However, their momentum was halted by a 3-1 defeat away to Turkey, where they struggled defensively.

Despite this setback, Iceland are known for being difficult to beat in Reykjavik, and they will be looking to get back to winning ways in front of their home fans.

Injury and team news

Iceland will be missing their talented Lille midfielder Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, who is still recovering from an injury. His absence will be a blow for the hosts, as he is a key figure in their midfield creativity.

Nevertheless, the rest of the squad is expected to be available, and the team will be counting on their usual solidity at home to get a result.

Last Iceland Lineup

Here is how Iceland lined up for their last match against Turkey:

Goalkeeper: Runar Runarsson

Defenders: Birkir Saevarsson, Kari Arnason, Hordur Magnusson, Ari Skulason

Midfielders: Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson, Birkir Bjarnason, Victor Palsson, Alfred Finnbogason

Forwards: Aron Gunnarsson, Kolbeinn Sigthorsson

Wales Recent Form

Wales come into this game after a narrow 2-1 victory over Montenegro, a result that gives them momentum.

They have been inconsistent, but with their defence tightening up and a veteran like Joe Allen back in the squad, they will fancy their chances.

However, Wales have struggled in Reykjavik before and will need to be at their best to take all three points.

Injury and team news

Wales will be boosted by the return of Connor Roberts from injury. Additionally, veteran midfielder Joe Allen has been recalled by manager Craig Bellamy, who believes Allen still has much to offer to the team. The Welsh squad is close to full strength and will be aiming to build on their recent form.

Last Wales Lineup

Here is how Wales lined up for their last match against Montenegro:

Goalkeeper: Danny Ward

Defenders: Connor Roberts, Chris Mepham, Ben Davies, Neco Williams

Midfielders: Joe Morrell, Joe Allen, Harry Wilson

Forwards: Kieffer Moore, Daniel James, Brennan Johnson

Iceland Player To Watch

Iceland will be looking towards their experienced captain, Aron Gunnarsson, to lead the team. Known for his leadership and physicality, Gunnarsson will be crucial in the midfield battle as Iceland try to control the tempo of the game.

Wales Player To Watch

For Wales, keep an eye on Harry Wilson. The dynamic midfielder is capable of creating chances and has an eye for goal. His playmaking abilities will be vital if Wales are to unlock Iceland's defence.

27 yrs - AM (RC) - Fulham
68
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
36
Played matches
3
0
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Prediction

This looks set to be a close encounter, with both teams in need of points to stay competitive in the group. Iceland's strong home form will make this a tough task for Wales, but the Welsh team have enough quality to earn a draw.

Our Prediction: 1-1

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Both teams to score – Iceland and Wales have been inconsistent defensively, making a score draw a likely outcome.

Tip 2

Under 2.5 goals – With both teams being cautious, a low-scoring game could be on the cards.

Tip 3

Draw – Given the form and injuries in both squads, a draw seems the most probable result.

Match statistics

Iceland
Statistics
Wales
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
7
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
8
9
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
33
22
Goals Per Game
1.65
1.10
More > 2.5 Goals
11
8
More > 3 Goals
8
3
Scored First in a Match
10
7
Scored Both Halves
7
4
Won More > 1 Goal
4
2
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
28
27
Did Not Score
3
6
Both Teams Scored
11
12
Kept Clean Sheet
6
4
Won Without Conceding
6
2
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
11
12
Shots on Target
4.83
3.75
Goals out of Shots
0.15
0.10
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
1.70
1.87
Penalties
0.20
0.15
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.30
0.20
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.05
0.00
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
14
13
Shots on Target Conceded
4.56
3.74
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.10
0.11
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
12
11
Yellow Cards
1.60
2.15
Red Cards
0.05
0.15