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Germany vs Netherlands Prediction: UEFA Nations League

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Germany and Netherlands this week.

 
9:50am on Monday 14th October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Germany and the Netherlands will renew their fierce rivalry in the UEFA Nations League as they clash at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Both teams remain unbeaten at the halfway point of the group, with Germany sitting on top, just ahead of the Netherlands.

Germany, playing on home soil, will aim to solidify their dominance, while the Netherlands will look to continue their impressive away form in this competition.

Germany's Recent Form

Germany have been in solid form in the Nations League this season, winning two of their three matches and drawing the other against the Netherlands in Amsterdam last month.

Their last outing saw them secure a hard-fought 2-1 win over Bosnia, with Deniz Undav grabbing a brace. Julian Nagelsmann's men have been consistent at home, suffering only one defeat in the Nations League on German soil.

Injury and Team News

Germany will be without key players such as Marc-Andre ter Stegen, who is out for the season, as well as attacking talents Jamal Musiala and Kai Havertz.

These absences leave a gap in creativity, though Deniz Undav has stepped up with excellent form, scoring eight goals in his last eight matches.

Niclas Fullkrug has struggled at West Ham, so Tim Kleindienst and Jonathan Burkardt could be included once again.

Last Germany Lineup

Here is how the team lined up for their last match:

Netherlands' Recent Form

The Netherlands have been resilient, with their last two matches ending in draws, including their 1-1 result against Germany in Amsterdam.

Ronald Koeman’s side has struggled with some key absences but remains unbeaten in their last seven away games in the Nations League.

However, their last performance against Hungary showed signs of vulnerability, as they were lucky to secure a point.

Injury and Team News

Virgil van Dijk's suspension after his red card against Hungary is a major blow for the Dutch. Matthijs de Ligt is expected to fill in, though the defence remains weakened with Nathan Ake, Daley Blind, and Jurrien Timber also sidelined.

The midfield lacks depth with Frenkie de Jong, Teun Koopmeiners, and Jerdy Schouten all unavailable.

Last Netherlands Lineup

Here is how the team lined up for their last match:

Germany Player To Watch

Deniz Undav has been in electric form for both club and country. With eight goals in his last eight matches, he will be Germany's key attacking threat, especially in the absence of Havertz and Musiala.

28 yrs - F, AM (C) - Stuttgart
92 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
413
Played matches
6
4
0
Shots P90
6.10
Shots On target P90
2.83
Successful passing %
70%
Final third passes P90
10.90

Netherlands Player To Watch

Denzel Dumfries has proven to be a clutch performer for the Netherlands. His late equaliser against Hungary kept his team in the running, and his attacking presence down the right flank will be critical to unlocking the German defence.

28 yrs - M, D (R) - Inter
77
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
247
Played matches
3
2
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Prediction

Germany are favourites heading into this encounter due to their strong home form and the Netherlands' weakened squad. While the Dutch are resilient, their defensive frailties without Van Dijk could be exploited by Germany’s attack.

A 3-1 win for Germany seems likely.

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Both teams to score – Both Germany and the Netherlands have a history of high-scoring encounters, and both defences have shown vulnerabilities.

Tip 2

Over 2.5 goals – With attacking players like Undav and Dumfries in form, expect goals in this match.

Tip 3

Germany to win – Playing at home and with the Netherlands missing key players, Germany should edge this encounter.

Match statistics

Germany
Statistics
Netherlands
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
9
10
Draws
8
3
Losses
3
7
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
44
41
Goals Per Game
2.20
2.05
More > 2.5 Goals
10
16
More > 3 Goals
7
8
Scored First in a Match
13
11
Scored Both Halves
6
8
Won More > 1 Goal
8
5
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
23
28
Did Not Score
1
2
Both Teams Scored
15
12
Kept Clean Sheet
4
7
Won Without Conceding
4
6
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
17
16
Shots on Target
6.22
5.25
Goals out of Shots
0.14
0.14
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
2.76
2.13
Penalties
0.35
0.10
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.20
0.35
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.10
0.05
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
9.50
11
Shots on Target Conceded
3.88
3.72
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.18
0.15
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
13
Yellow Cards
1.85
1.75
Red Cards
0.00
0.00

Suspended

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