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Finland vs England Prediction: Three Lions look to recover from SHOCK loss

England suffered a surprise loss to Greece on Thursday and will need to bounce back quickly away at Finland

 
10:30am on Friday 11th October 2024
By
Martin Macdonald

England will look to bounce back quickly from a shock loss against Greece on Thursday by claiming three Nations League points away at Finland this coming Sunday.

The Three Lions lost 2-1 at Wembley thanks to two goals from Vangelis Pavlidis, with Jude Bellingham scoring for the home side.

Finland lost 2-1 versus the Republic of Ireland.

Match Preview

Finland Recent Form

Following the 2-1 loss against Ireland, Finland have now lost four competitive matches in a row.

In September, they lost both Nations League matches 3-0 against Greece and 2-0 against England. In their last three, they've scored just a single goal.

Finland Injury News

Finland have no fresh injury concerns since the loss against Ireland, but Leo Walta, Rasmus Schuller, Top Keskinen and Joel Pohjanpalo were all withdrawn at various points in the game so could be replaced, though Pohjanpalo did score the consolation.

Teemu Pukki is another option at centre-forward.

Last Finland Lineup

Here's how Finland lined up against Ireland.

England Recent Form

England lost the final of the European Championships against Spain which led to the resignation of Gareth Southgate.

Lee Carlsey took charge of the first two Nations League matches in September and won them both, 2-0 against Ireland and 2-0 against Finland respectively.

But, the surprise loss versus Greece on Thursday has hurt his chances of gaining the head coach job permanently - if he wanted it.

England Injury News

There's a fresh injury concern for England after Bukayo Saka limped off against Greece clutching his thigh. Carlsey has confirmed that the player was taken off as a precaution, but it is highly unlikely we'll see him feature here.

Harry Kane wasn't in the squad on Thursday as he nurses an ankle knock, but could make himself available again.

Kobbie Mainoo, Ezri Konsa and Morgan Gibbs-White all withdrew from the squad before the Greece game.

Last England Lineup

Here's how England lined up against Greece.

Finland - Player To Watch

Finland may have failed to win on Thursday, but Joel Pohjanpalo still managed to find the back of the net. For club Venezia and country, he has three goals in his last four games.

England - Player To Watch

Jude Bellingham scored for England on Thursday playing in a False Nine role, but it is unlikely he'll be retained in that position here and will move further back. Either way, he remains England's talisman currently.

Finland vs England - Prediction

Even when England face supposed lower opposition, they don't tend to blow them away but the Three Lions should still have more than enough quality to bounce back from that loss against Greece. Kane returning should give them a better focal point up top.

Scoreline prediction - Finland 0-2 England

Finland vs England - Betting Tips

England to Win to Nil

- Finland have lost four games in a row and have scored just two goals in that time

- England defeated Finland 2-0 in September

Match statistics

Finland
Statistics
England
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
8
13
Draws
2
4
Losses
10
3
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
28
39
Goals Per Game
1.40
1.95
More > 2.5 Goals
10
10
More > 3 Goals
5
3
Scored First in a Match
12
10
Scored Both Halves
3
6
Won More > 1 Goal
5
8
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
27
14
Did Not Score
5
1
Both Teams Scored
8
11
Kept Clean Sheet
7
9
Won Without Conceding
7
8
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
9.90
13
Shots on Target
3.50
5.05
Goals out of Shots
0.13
0.17
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
1.60
1.67
Penalties
0.10
0.35
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.35
0.45
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.05
0.00
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
12
8.33
Shots on Target Conceded
4.70
2.80
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.11
0.10
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
9.05
Yellow Cards
1.50
1.60
Red Cards
0.00
0.00