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Match preview

Croatia vs Portugal Prediction: UEFA Nations League

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Croatia and Portugal taking place tonight.

 
10:06am on Monday 18th November 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Croatia and Portugal conclude their League A Group 1 campaign in the UEFA Nations League with a high-stakes matchup at the Stadion Poljud tonight.

Portugal have already clinched their place in the quarter-finals as group winners, while Croatia only need a point to advance. With key players missing on both sides, this could be a intriguing end to the group.

Croatia Recent Form

Croatia’s recent form has been mixed. The team have secured seven points in recent Nations League matches but failed to confirm a quarter-final spot after a late loss to Scotland. The defeat marked a missed opportunity for Croatia, who now face added pressure to secure at least a point against Portugal.

Injury and Team News

Key midfielder Petar Sucic is suspended, adding to Croatia’s selection concerns. However, coach Zlatko Dalic is boosted by the return of goalkeeper Dominik Livakovic from suspension, and the presence of seasoned playmaker Luka Modric should help steady Croatia’s midfield.

Portugal Recent Form

Portugal have been in commanding form, comfortably winning Group 1. Roberto Martinez’s squad enjoyed a resounding 5-1 victory over Poland in their last outing, a game marked by two goals from Cristiano Ronaldo.

Portugal’s only group-stage slip came in a draw with Scotland, and the team now has the luxury to rotate players with a guaranteed quarter-final position.

Injury and Team News

Several stars, including Ronaldo, Bernardo Silva, and Bruno Fernandes, have been sent back to their clubs with Portugal's qualification assured.

Fernandes is also suspended, leading to the inclusion of younger players like Joao Felix and Fabio Silva. Defensive adjustments could see Tiago Djalo and Geovany Quenda join the lineup as Portugal experiments with alternatives.

Croatia Player to Watch

Luka Modric will be pivotal for Croatia, both in orchestrating play from midfield and offering experience under pressure. His ability to control the tempo could be key to Croatia’s hopes of achieving a result.

39 yrs - M, DM (C) - Real Madrid
85
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
437
Played matches
5
1
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Portugal Player to Watch

Joao Felix, likely given a central attacking role, will be crucial in Portugal’s setup. With Ronaldo absent, Felix’s pace and creativity could unlock the Croatian defence and add flair to Portugal’s attack.

25 yrs - W (L), AM (C) - Chelsea
75 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
30
Played matches
3
0
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Prediction

Given the stakes, a closely-fought game seems likely. Croatia may adopt a cautious approach, aiming to secure the point they need, while Portugal’s rotated lineup may focus on testing younger talent.

A 1-1 draw is a likely result.

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Both Teams to Score – Croatia’s need for a point should see them press for goals, while Portugal’s potent forward lineup makes them likely to score.

Tip 2

Draw at Full Time – With Croatia needing only a point and Portugal’s lineup likely to feature squad players, a draw is realistic.

Tip 3

Under 2.5 Goals – Portugal’s defence has been solid, and Croatia’s cautious approach could limit the scoreline.

Match statistics

Croatia
Statistics
Portugal
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
9
17
Draws
4
1
Losses
7
2
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
29
53
Goals Per Game
1.45
2.65
More > 2.5 Goals
10
12
More > 3 Goals
4
7
Scored First in a Match
9
14
Scored Both Halves
2
8
Won More > 1 Goal
4
10
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
23
9
Did Not Score
5
4
Both Teams Scored
9
6
Kept Clean Sheet
7
13
Won Without Conceding
6
11
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
16
19
Shots on Target
6.20
6.75
Goals out of Shots
0.10
0.16
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
2.07
2.58
Penalties
0.10
0.20
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.35
0.65
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.00
0.05
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
11
7.90
Shots on Target Conceded
3.89
2.53
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.11
0.06
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
10
9.75
Yellow Cards
1.95
1.65
Red Cards
0.05
0.00

Suspended

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