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Brest vs Leverkusen Prediction: Ligue 1 side look to continue surprising Champions League run

Here is our preview and prediction for the upcoming UEFA Champions League match between Brest and Bayer Leverkusen.

 
11:17am on Tuesday 22nd October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Surprise package Brest continues their remarkable Champions League adventure as they face German champions Bayer Leverkusen at Stade du Roudourou on Wednesday.

Both teams have enjoyed strong starts to the competition, but the clash will be a significant test of Brest's progress on Europe's biggest stage.

Brest Recent Form

Brest's first Champions League campaign has been one to remember so far. After securing a historic third-place finish in Ligue 1 last season, Brest have thrived in Europe, winning both of their opening matches.

They stunned Sturm Graz with a 4-0 away win, thanks to a brace from Abdallah Sima and impressive saves from goalkeeper Marco Bizot. Domestically, however, Brest have struggled with consistency, drawing 1-1 against Rennes at the weekend, leaving them in the bottom half of the Ligue 1 table.

Bayer Leverkusen Recent Form

Leverkusen have carried their domestic dominance into the Champions League. Under Xabi Alonso, they have won their opening two group stage matches, defeating Feyenoord 4-0 and edging past AC Milan 1-0.

Domestically, Leverkusen are close to the Bundesliga summit, having beaten Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 in their most recent league fixture. Leverkusen's formidable attack and midfield, led by Florian Wirtz and Granit Xhaka, have made them one of the competition's most feared sides.

Injury and Team News

Brest could be without key player Abdallah Sima, who missed their last Ligue 1 match due to a hamstring injury. Eric Roy will also have to make adjustments in defence as Julien Le Cardinal is a doubt after pulling out during the warm-up against Rennes.

However, midfielder Pierre Lees-Melou made his return from injury over the weekend, offering a boost for the Ligue 1 side.

For Leverkusen, Florian Wirtz could return to the starting lineup after recovering from an ankle injury. The German international made a cameo appearance at the weekend and may start in this crucial clash.

Striker Victor Boniface's involvement remains uncertain after he was taken to hospital following a car accident. Martin Terrier, formerly of Rennes, is another player to watch, especially given his excellent record against Brest.

Last Brest Lineup

Here is how Brest lined up in their 1-1 draw against Rennes:

Last Bayer Leverkusen Lineup

Here is how Bayer Leverkusen lined up in their 2-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt:

Brest Player To Watch

With Abdallah Sima potentially sidelined, the pressure falls on Ludovic Ajorque. The towering striker has been instrumental in Brest’s attack, providing assists and leadership up front. His link-up play with Del Castillo will be crucial if Brest are to breach Leverkusen’s defence.

30 yrs - S (C) - Brest
71
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
175
Played matches
2
0
2
Shots P90
0.51
Shots On target P90
0.00
Successful passing %
80%
Final third passes P90
13.89

Leverkusen Player To Watch

Florian Wirtz is the standout player for Leverkusen. Returning from injury, the young playmaker has the ability to unlock defences with his vision and dribbling. His partnership with Granit Xhaka in midfield is key to Leverkusen’s fast, attacking style.

21 yrs - AM (CL) - Leverkusen
98 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
161
Played matches
2
2
0
Shots P90
2.24
Shots On target P90
1.68
Successful passing %
91%
Final third passes P90
17.89

Prediction

Despite Brest’s surprising start to the competition, Leverkusen's quality and experience at this level are likely to see them edge the contest. Brest have shown they can compete, but Leverkusen’s firepower and ability to control the game in midfield give them the upper hand.

Our Prediction: Brest 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Betting Tips

Tip 1: Both Teams to Score

Both teams have shown attacking prowess in the Champions League, and while Leverkusen are favourites, Brest’s counter-attacking threat makes it likely they will score.

Tip 2: Over 2.5 Goals

Leverkusen’s attacking intent combined with Brest’s recent goalscoring form suggests this game could see multiple goals.

Tip 3: Leverkusen to Win

With Leverkusen’s superior squad depth and recent form, they are strong favourites to secure the win.

Recent Ratings

Next Game

69
Brest
VS
  Average Match Rating  
6.4
  Home  
6.6
5.1
  Away  
6.4
5.7
  Total  
6.5

Match statistics

Brest
Statistics
Bayer 04
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
9
13
Draws
4
5
Losses
7
2
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
35
46
Goals Per Game
1.75
2.30
More > 2.5 Goals
10
14
More > 3 Goals
7
11
Scored First in a Match
9
15
Scored Both Halves
7
8
Won More > 1 Goal
5
5
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
31
25
Did Not Score
5
1
Both Teams Scored
9
13
Kept Clean Sheet
7
6
Won Without Conceding
6
6
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
645
754
Possession
53
57
Passes
458
578
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
13
18
Shots on Target
4.60
6.60
Goals out of Shots
0.14
0.15
Crosses
20
17
Offsides
1.83
2.33
Penalties
0.20
0.20
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.35
0.30
Tackles Won
11
9.78
Clearances
19
14
Interceptions
9.80
6.94
Own Goals
0.10
0.05
Aerials Won
18
11
Total Shots Conceded
12
11
Shots on Target Conceded
4.53
3.84
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.14
0.12
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
13
8.90
Yellow Cards
2.25
2.15
Red Cards
0.05
0.05

Injuries

  1. Achilles Tendon Rupture image description
  2. Groin Injury image description
  3. Unknown image description