Aston Villa AST Durán (16'), Rogers (65')
2 - 1
-
Full Time
Man City MCI Foden (90+3)

Match preview

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction: Champions need a miracle to get back into Premier League title race

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

 
1:13pm on Thursday 19th December 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Manchester City travel to Villa Park to face Aston Villa in what could be a pivotal clash for Pep Guardiola's struggling side. After a shocking run of defeats, City need a turnaround to keep their faint title hopes alive. But Villa’s home form will make this an uphill battle.

Aston Villa Recent Form

Aston Villa have been solid at home, going unbeaten in their last seven matches at Villa Park, with four wins and three draws. Despite their strong home record, their overall form has been inconsistent, losing four of their last seven league games.

Currently, they sit seventh, just three points shy of a potential Champions League spot.

Injury and Team News

Villa manager Unai Emery may see Leon Bailey and Tyrone Mings return to the squad, which would provide a significant boost. However, Jacob Ramsey remains sidelined until the New Year due to injury.

Last Aston Villa Lineup

Here is how Aston Villa lined up for their last match:

Manchester City Recent Form

Manchester City's form is nothing short of shocking for a team of their stature. They’ve lost five of their last seven Premier League matches, as many defeats as they suffered in the previous 67 games combined.

Their title defence is faltering, as they trail league leaders Liverpool by nine points, having played an additional game.

Injury and Team News

City continue to struggle with injuries. Key midfielder Rodri remains out with a long-term ACL injury. Oscar Bobb and Nathan Aké are also sidelined.

There is hope, however, that Manuel Akanji may return, while Rico Lewis is available after suspension.

Last Manchester City Lineup

Here is how Manchester City lined up for their last match:

Aston Villa vs Manchester City – Who is the Referee and VAR?

Here are the confirmed on-field officials and VAR for the game:

Referee: Peter Bankes.

Assistants: Eddie Smart, Nick Greenhalgh.

Fourth official: Andy Madley.

VAR: Darren England.

Assistant VAR: Darren Cann.

Aston Villa Player to Watch

Ollie Watkins - The striker has been instrumental for Villa this season, leading the line with his clinical finishing. His ability to exploit City’s shaky defence could be decisive.

28 yrs - S (C) - Aston Villa
80 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
1135
Played matches
16
7
3
Shots P90
3.09
Shots On target P90
1.67
Successful passing %
79%
Final third passes P90
6.34

Manchester City Player to Watch

Josko Gvardiol - Despite City’s poor form, Gvardiol has contributed four goals this season, making him the most prolific defender in the Premier League. He’ll be crucial both defensively and offensively.

22 yrs - D (LC) - Man City
89 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
1302
Played matches
15
4
0
Shots P90
1.52
Shots On target P90
0.55
Successful passing %
92%
Final third passes P90
28.60

Prediction

Given City’s slump and Villa’s strong home form, this is set to be a closely contested match. The Opta supercomputer still favours City, giving them a 43.7% chance of winning.

However, Villa’s resilience at home could see them clinch a draw or even an upset victory. A 1-1 draw seems likely.

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Both Teams to Score - With Villa’s attacking form and City’s defensive vulnerabilities, goals are expected on both sides.

Tip 2

Over 2.5 Goals - City are still capable of scoring, but their leaky defence makes a high-scoring encounter plausible.

Tip 3

Ollie Watkins to Score Anytime - The Villa striker’s recent form and City’s defensive woes suggest he could find the net.

Recent Ratings

Next Game

  Average Match Rating  
7.0
  Home  
7.5
6.3
  Away  
6.9
6.7
  Total  
7.2

Match statistics

Aston Villa
Statistics
Man City
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
9
7
Draws
5
5
Losses
6
8
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
29
33
Goals Per Game
1.45
1.65
More > 2.5 Goals
12
15
More > 3 Goals
7
8
Scored First in a Match
10
11
Scored Both Halves
4
8
Won More > 1 Goal
5
3
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
25
32
Did Not Score
5
4
Both Teams Scored
11
12
Kept Clean Sheet
6
5
Won Without Conceding
4
4
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
598
811
Possession
49
65
Passes
429
642
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
13
19
Shots on Target
4.50
6.40
Goals out of Shots
0.11
0.09
Crosses
16
22
Offsides
1.46
1.73
Penalties
0.10
0.10
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.30
0.25
Tackles Won
7.94
7.65
Clearances
16
12
Interceptions
8.12
5.76
Own Goals
0.00
0.00
Aerials Won
9.65
8.82
Total Shots Conceded
12
9.20
Shots on Target Conceded
4.79
4.05
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.09
0.18
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
8.00
Yellow Cards
2.15
1.70
Red Cards
0.00
0.00

Injuries

  1. Hip/Thigh Injury image description
  2. ACL Knee Injury image description
  3. Broken Leg image description
  4. Leg Injury image description
  5. Muscle Injury image description
  6. Knock image description
  7. Hamstring image description
  8. Knee Injury image description

In suspension danger

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  2. image description