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Match preview

Mainz vs Bayern Munich Prediction: DFB Pokal

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming DFB Pokal Cup match between Mainz and Bayern Munich this week.

 
6:00am on Wednesday 30th October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

In this highly anticipated DFB Pokal matchup, Mainz 05 host Bayern Munich at the Mewa Arena. With both teams looking to progress to the next round, fans can expect an intense contest between the Bundesliga sides.

Here's a look at each team's recent form, injury news, lineups, key players, and predictions.

Mainz Recent Form

Mainz come into this fixture after a challenging run of form, currently sitting 13th in the Bundesliga with only nine points from eight games.

They drew 1-1 with Borussia Mönchengladbach in their last league match on October 25, despite creating more significant chances. However, Mainz have struggled for consistency, with three losses, two wins, and a draw in their last six games across all competitions.

Mainz Injury and Team News

Manager Bo Henriksen faces several injuries, notably in defence and midfield. Andreas Hanche-Olsen is unavailable until late November, and Nikolas Veratschnig will miss out until early next month.

Striker Jonathan Burkardt and midfielder Nadiem Amiri are also sidelined, likely pushing Armindo Sieb into the lineup. Moritz Jenz, Maxim Leitsch, and Dominik Kohr could anchor the defence.

Mainz Last Lineup

Here is how Mainz lined up in their last match:

Bayern Munich Recent Form

Bayern Munich have been in mixed form lately, having won two, drawn two, and lost two of their last six games in all competitions. They rebounded from a tough 4-1 Champions League defeat to Barcelona with a 5-0 league win over VfL Bochum.

Vincent Kompany's side have shown attacking prowess, netting 39 goals in 11 league and Champions League fixtures, though their defence remains a concern, with nine goals conceded in the last six matches.

Bayern Munich Injury and Team News

Bayern will be without midfielder Aleksandar Pavlovic and defenders Hiroki Ito, Josip Stanisic, and Sacha Boey due to injuries. Manuel Neuer is expected to be rested, with Sven Ulreich likely in goal.

Kompany could rotate his attack, starting Serge Gnabry, Leroy Sané, and Thomas Muller to support Mathys Tel up front.

Bayern Munich Last Lineup

Here is how Bayern Munich lined up in their last match:

Mainz Player to Watch

Armindo Sieb - With Jonathan Burkardt unavailable, Sieb will be expected to lead Mainz’s attack. His movement and positioning could be crucial if Mainz are to disrupt Bayern’s defence.

Bayern Munich Player to Watch

Mathys Tel - The young forward could feature over Harry Kane and will be a key figure to watch. His pace and pressing can create challenges for Mainz’s backline.

19 yrs - AM (L) - Bayern
69
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
63
Played matches
1
0
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Prediction

Although Bayern have been vulnerable defensively, their attacking depth should give them an advantage over Mainz.

We predict a 3-1 win for Bayern Munich, though Mainz could pose a threat if they capitalise on Bayern's occasional defensive lapses.

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Bayern to Win - Despite defensive struggles, Bayern’s offence makes them the favourites.

Tip 2

Both Teams to Score - Given Bayern’s recent defensive record, Mainz might find the net.

Tip 3

Over 2.5 Goals - Bayern’s high-scoring games and Mainz’s vulnerabilities make a goal-heavy match likely.

Recent Ratings

Next Game

VS
99
Bayern
  Average Match Rating  
6.1
  Home  
8.5
5.3
  Away  
7.8
5.7
  Total  
8.1

Match statistics

Mainz 05
Statistics
Bayern
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
8
12
Draws
8
3
Losses
4
5
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
36
59
Goals Per Game
1.80
2.95
More > 2.5 Goals
10
15
More > 3 Goals
7
13
Scored First in a Match
9
15
Scored Both Halves
6
10
Won More > 1 Goal
7
9
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
28
27
Did Not Score
3
1
Both Teams Scored
13
12
Kept Clean Sheet
5
7
Won Without Conceding
4
7
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
580
832
Possession
46
62
Passes
381
659
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
14
17
Shots on Target
4.60
7.15
Goals out of Shots
0.15
0.17
Crosses
18
16
Offsides
1.82
2.50
Penalties
0.10
0.40
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.25
0.35
Tackles Won
8.63
10
Clearances
25
14
Interceptions
9.00
7.68
Own Goals
0.00
0.00
Aerials Won
19
11
Total Shots Conceded
15
9.37
Shots on Target Conceded
5.20
3.53
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.09
0.16
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
13
9.40
Yellow Cards
2.70
1.20
Red Cards
0.05
0.00