xG Check

xG Check, 25 Feb: Newcastle's awful attack exposed, plus a historic low xG in France

Whether Steve Bruce likes it or not, Newcastle's statistics are coming after them

11:00am on Tuesday 25th February 2020
Paul Macdonald
EPL Feb 22, 2020 L
  • Crystal Palace xG: 1.75
  • Newcastle xG: 0.15
  • Newcastle's lowest xG of season

Steve Bruce faced down journalists recently who suggested that his team had been fortunate and that the statistics intimated that his team should be lower down the table. He found it offensive. And then his team went out and recorded just 0.15 xG against Palace in one of the most insipid displays of the season.

Palace - a team who have also had trouble scoring goals - were excellent value for their win and Christian Benteke's (0.55 xG) baffling header that whizzed past the post was their most glaring miss.

Newcastle had eight efforts, two inside the area, and the two that found the target rolled harmlessly into the arms of the goalkeeper. Newcastle have a HUGE month of fixtures ahead - if this bad run continues relegation is still a possibility.

FL1 Feb 22, 2020 D
  • Strasbourg xG: 0.6
  • Amiens xG: 0.06
  • One of lowest xG of season so far

Congratulations to Amiens, who recorded one of the lowest xGs seen anywhere in Europe away to Strasbourg at the weekend.

The hosts were hardly stellar offensively themselves, offering just 0.6 in a truly dreadful contest, but Amiens mustered just three shots with an average distance of 25 yards from goal and each carrying just 0.02 xG. A truly horrendous spectacle, this one.

LAL Feb 21, 2020 D
  • Betis xG: 2.9
  • Mallorca xG: 0.95
  • Good finishing from Mallorca

By contrast another hugely exciting match featuring Betis ended 3-3 at the Benito Villamarin, and the hosts were very unfortunate not to earn all three points.

Betis were awarded two clear penalties which combined offered 1.5 xG, while were value for at least another one. Mallorca on the other hand relied on a quite stunning finish from Cucho Hernandez (0.07 xG) and a fortunate effort from Takefusa Kubo (0.09 xG) that squirmed under the body of the goalkeeper meant that a match that really should have been a home win ended in an exciting score draw.

What is xG check?

Each week FC will aggregate the Expected Goals (xG) ratings from three respected sources and provide an average for both the home and away team. From there we will assess which matches have ended in a different manner than the xG would suggest.

EXPECTED GOALS (xG) assesses the quality of a shot based on several variables such as assist type, shot angle and distance from goal, whether it was a headed shot and whether it was defined as a big chance. From there that shot is assigned an xG score and the cumulative total of these scores provides a team's xG for a match. Stats Definition

But sometimes, xG doesn't tell the whole picture, so we also analyse the highlights of these games to look at the chances created by teams in a little more detail.

Latest news

Predicted XI

How Real Madrid could line-up versus Manuel Pellegrini's Real Betis

After a hard-fought draw away at Real Sociedad last time out, Los Blancos face another tough test against their former boss

  • 45 minutes
Predicted XI

How Man Utd could line-up against Brighton

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and his charges are looking to bounce back from their opening round defeat versus Crystal Palace

  • 1 hour
Predicted XI

How Leeds could line-up against Sheffield United

Marcelo Bielsa's side have been exciting to watch so far and he is notoriously loyal to his starting XI, meaning the team won't change much

  • 2 hours
Predicted XI

How Barcelona could line up against Villarreal

Ronald Koeman's first competitive match in charge will be the first of a new Barca and new tactical set-up

  • 2 hours
Premier League

The kids aren't alright: EPL ranked bottom for offering minutes to young players

Since 2015, only 7.8% of all minutes played were by players 21 or younger - the lowest of the Big Five Leagues

  • 15 hours

What Juventus' Andrea Pirlo thinks about football

In his thesis the Italian laid out his ideas about the game and it offers an insight into what type of Juve he will try to build

  • 15 hours

Most read

Other interesting players

  1. image description Josip Iličić F, AM (C)
    Atalanta 99
  2. image description Cristiano Ronaldo F (C), W (L)
    Juventus 95
  3. image description Hakan Çalhanoğlu W (L), AM (C)
    Milan 89
  4. Udinese 89
  5. Atalanta 89
  6. image description Juan Cuadrado D (R), M (C)
    Juventus 88
  7. Sassuolo 88
  8. image description Paulo Dybala S, AM (C)
    Juventus 87
  9. Milan 86
  10. image description Rodrigo de Paul M, AM (C)
    Udinese 86