Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction and Preview: Serie A

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming Serie A match between Lazio and AC Milan taking place in the 24/25 season.

 
10:05am on Friday 30th August 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Lazio and AC Milan both aim to rebound after unexpected losses last week. As they face off at Stadio Olimpico on Saturday night, neither team can afford to drop more points in their final game before the international break.

Match Preview

Lazio

Lazio Recent Form

Lazio started the season with an opening-day win over promoted Venezia but stumbled against Udinese last weekend, losing 2-1. This defeat ended an eight-match unbeaten streak dating back to last season.

Despite their strong home form, Lazio has struggled against AC Milan recently, losing three consecutive matches without scoring.

Lazio Injury News

Lazio's defensive line is weakened by the absence of Mario Gila, who is sidelined with a thigh injury. Nicolo Casale might also miss the match as he is linked with a move to Bologna.

However, there are no major concerns in midfield, where Nicolo Rovella, Matias Vecino, and Danilo Cataldi are available for selection. Left-back Lorenzo Pellegrini was involved in a car accident but could still make the squad.

AC Milan

AC Milan Recent Form

AC Milan's season has started disappointingly, drawing 2-2 with Torino and then suffering a surprising 2-1 defeat to Parma. This marks the first time since 2011 that Milan has failed to win either of their first two league fixtures.

Despite leading Serie A in shots, touches in the opposition area, and direct attacks, Milan's defence has been fragile, leading to concerns for new head coach Paulo Fonseca.

AC Milan Injury News

AC Milan is without key summer signing Alvaro Morata due to a thigh injury. The attack will likely rely on Luka Jovic or Noah Okafor to partner with Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic upfront.

Recent arrivals Emerson Royal and Youssouf Fofana, who made their Serie A debuts as substitutes, could also feature, possibly starting if changes are made to address their recent form.

Players To Watch

Lazio Player To Watch

Mattia Zaccagni has been instrumental for Lazio at Stadio Olimpico, directly contributing to four of Lazio's last six home goals. As captain and a creative force, his performance will be crucial in breaking down AC Milan's defence.

29 yrs - W (L) - Lazio
76 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
159
Played matches
2
1
0
Shots P90
2.83
Shots On target P90
1.13
Successful passing %
85%
Final third passes P90
12.45

AC Milan Player To Watch

Rafael Leao remains AC Milan's main attacking threat despite not scoring yet this season. He has created the most chances, delivered the most crosses into the opposition box, and attempted the joint-most shots in Serie A, tied with Lazio's Castellanos.

25 yrs - AM, W (L) - Milan
86
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
90
Played matches
1
0
0
Shots P90
7.00
Shots On target P90
2.00
Successful passing %
89%
Final third passes P90
28.00

Prediction

While AC Milan has had the upper hand over Lazio in recent meetings, neither side has shown convincing defensive form so far this season.

This matchup could end in a high-scoring draw, with both teams finding the back of the net.

Our Prediction: Lazio 2-2 AC Milan

For all of the analysis of Lazio vs AC Milan as it happens live, check out our Live Update page for the game.

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