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Spain vs Serbia Prediction: UEFA Nations League

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Spain and Serbia this week.

 
12:39pm on Tuesday 15th October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Spain will be looking to extend their lead at the top of Group 4 in the UEFA Nations League when they host Serbia at the Estadio Nuevo Arcángel on Tuesday evening.

La Roja come into this fixture on the back of a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Denmark, while Serbia secured an impressive 2-0 win against Switzerland, setting the stage for a high-stakes clash.

Spain Recent Form

Spain have been in solid form throughout their UEFA Nations League campaign. They are unbeaten in the competition, with two wins and a draw. Their recent 1-0 victory over Denmark saw Martin Zubimendi score the only goal of the match in the 79th minute.

As the reigning Nations League champions, Spain are aiming to secure another title and will be keen to take advantage of their home fixture.

Injury and team news

Luis de la Fuente’s side is dealing with several key injuries, including Dani Carvajal, Rodri, Dani Olmo, and young star Lamine Yamal.

Barcelona's Yamal suffered a minor injury in the previous match against Denmark, ruling him out of this contest. Despite these absences, Spain have depth in their squad, with players like Alex Baena and Pedri expected to step up.

Last Spain Lineup

Here is how Spain lined up for their last match against Denmark:

Serbia Recent Form

Serbia have shown signs of improvement after a disappointing Euro 2024 campaign. They started their Nations League journey with a draw against Spain but suffered a 2-0 loss to Denmark in their second game.

However, a strong 2-0 victory over Switzerland last weekend, featuring a goal from Aleksandar Mitrovic and an own goal by Nico Elvedi, has revitalised their hopes in the group.

Injury and team news

Serbia have a relatively healthy squad, with head coach Dragan Stojković expected to keep faith in the same lineup that delivered against Switzerland. Aleksandar Mitrovic, who has been in prolific form for both club and country, will likely again lead the attack.

Last Serbia Lineup

Serbia’s starting lineup against Switzerland was as follows:

Spain Player To Watch

Álvaro Morata will be the key player to watch for Spain. With 36 goals for his country, the experienced striker will be relied upon to break down a resilient Serbian defence. His leadership in attack will be crucial for Spain’s ambitions in this fixture.

31 yrs - S (C) - Milan
74
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
78
Played matches
1
0
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Serbia Player To Watch

Aleksandar Mitrovic is Serbia’s talisman and the player to watch in this match. The powerful forward has scored 59 goals in 95 international appearances and has been in superb form for Al Hilal this season, netting 14 goals in 11 appearances.

59 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
74
Played matches
1
1
0
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Prediction

While Serbia have the potential to frustrate Spain, particularly given their strong recent form, Spain’s home advantage and tactical depth could see them edge out a narrow victory.

Our Prediction: Spain 2-1 Serbia

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Both Teams to Score – Serbia’s offensive capabilities, led by Mitrovic, make this a good bet.

Tip 2

Over 2.5 goals – Given the attacking talent on both sides, this fixture has the potential for goals.

Tip 3

Spain to Win – Despite their injury issues, Spain’s home advantage and recent form make them favourites.

Match statistics

Spain
Statistics
Serbia
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
18
7
Draws
1
7
Losses
1
6
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
47
31
Goals Per Game
2.35
1.55
More > 2.5 Goals
12
9
More > 3 Goals
6
7
Scored First in a Match
15
8
Scored Both Halves
7
7
Won More > 1 Goal
9
7
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
11
24
Did Not Score
3
5
Both Teams Scored
9
11
Kept Clean Sheet
10
6
Won Without Conceding
9
4
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
18
12
Shots on Target
6.35
4.05
Goals out of Shots
0.14
0.12
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
2.07
2.54
Penalties
0.00
0.00
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.50
0.30
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.05
0.00
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
8.45
10
Shots on Target Conceded
2.63
3.95
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.07
0.14
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
12
12
Yellow Cards
2.25
2.45
Red Cards
0.05
0.05