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Southampton vs West Ham Prediction: Premier League Boxing Day

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming Premier League game between Southampton and West Ham on Boxing Day.

 
7:15am on Tuesday 24th December 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Boxing Day presents an intriguing clash between Southampton and West Ham United at St Mary’s Stadium. With Southampton fighting to climb off the bottom of the table and West Ham looking to revive their season, this match is pivotal for both sides.

Southampton Recent Form

Southampton's season has been one to forget so far. The Saints are rock bottom in the Premier League, having scored the fewest goals (11) and conceded 36, the third-highest in the league.

Despite their struggles, a hard-fought 0-0 draw at Fulham last weekend provides a glimmer of hope as they adapt to new manager Ivan Jurić's system.

Injury and Team News

Southampton have several players sidelined, including Gavin Bazunu, Will Smallbone, Juan Larios, and Ross Stewart.

Aaron Ramsdale’s return in goal is a significant boost, while Jurić is expected to retain much of the lineup that held Fulham last weekend.

Last Southampton Lineup

West Ham Recent Form

West Ham sit 14th in the table but have stabilised in recent weeks, going unbeaten in their last three matches, including a 1-1 draw against Brighton.

Julen Lopetegui’s side, however, has underwhelmed this season given their talent and expectations.

Injury and Team News

The Hammers will be without Lucas Paquetá due to suspension, and Michail Antonio remains unavailable. Mohammed Kudus may move into a central role, with Crysencio Summerville likely to start on the flank.

Last West Ham Lineup

Southampton vs West Ham - Who Is the Referee and VAR?

Referee: Lewis Smith.

Assistants: Stuart Burt, Steve Meredith.

Fourth official: James Linington.

VAR: Stuart Attwell.

Assistant VAR: Richard West.

Southampton Player To Watch

Aaron Ramsdale: The returning goalkeeper could be vital in keeping Southampton competitive, especially against West Ham’s talented attackers.

26 yrs - GK - Southampton
70 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
900
Played matches
10
0
0
Shots P90
0.00
Shots On target P90
0.00
Successful passing %
69%
Final third passes P90
7.10

West Ham Player To Watch

Jarrod Bowen: With four goals and four assists this season, Bowen is a consistent threat and will look to exploit Southampton’s vulnerable defence.

28 yrs - S (C), AM (R) - West Ham
84 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
1509
Played matches
17
4
4
Shots P90
2.56
Shots On target P90
1.19
Successful passing %
78%
Final third passes P90
11.15

Prediction

Southampton will be buoyed by their managerial change and recent draw, but West Ham’s superior squad depth and form make them favourites.

Our Prediction: Southampton 0-1 West Ham

Betting Tips

Tip 1 - West Ham to Win

The Hammers have shown stability in recent games and possess more firepower.

Tip 2 - Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams have struggled to score freely, suggesting a low-scoring affair.

Tip 3 - Jarrod Bowen Anytime Goalscorer

Bowen’s form and role make him a likely candidate to find the net.

Match statistics

Southampton
Statistics
West Ham
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
4
6
Draws
3
5
Losses
13
9
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
21
25
Goals Per Game
1.05
1.25
More > 2.5 Goals
11
12
More > 3 Goals
9
7
Scored First in a Match
6
8
Scored Both Halves
3
2
Won More > 1 Goal
1
3
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
43
38
Did Not Score
7
3
Both Teams Scored
12
14
Kept Clean Sheet
2
4
Won Without Conceding
1
3
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
669
606
Possession
51
46
Passes
492
411
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
8.85
14
Shots on Target
3.53
4.50
Goals out of Shots
0.10
0.10
Crosses
14
17
Offsides
2.27
1.94
Penalties
0.05
0.15
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.10
0.20
Tackles Won
8.38
10
Clearances
24
25
Interceptions
8.13
8.44
Own Goals
0.05
0.05
Aerials Won
8.75
15
Total Shots Conceded
18
17
Shots on Target Conceded
6.30
5.60
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.14
0.12
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
12
Yellow Cards
2.80
2.40
Red Cards
0.15
0.05

Injuries

  1. Calf Injury image description
  2. Hip/Thigh Injury image description
  3. Achilles Tendon Rupture image description
  4. Knock image description
  5. Knock image description
  6. Broken Leg image description

Suspended

  1. image description