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Match preview

Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction: EFL Cup

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming EFL Cup game between Southampton and Liverpool taking place this week.

 
6:45am on Tuesday 17th December 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Liverpool travel to St Mary's Stadium to face Southampton in the EFL Cup quarter-finals, looking to progress further in their hunt for silverware. The Saints, meanwhile, will be aiming to upset the odds following a managerial shake-up.

Southampton Recent Form

Southampton's recent form has been dismal, resulting in the sacking of manager Russell Martin after a heavy 5-0 defeat to Tottenham.

The Saints have lost four of their last five matches, sitting bottom of the Premier League table with just nine points. However, their EFL Cup form has provided some respite, with wins against Cardiff City, Everton (on penalties), and Stoke City.

Injury and Team News

Southampton could see goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale return to the lineup, which would bolster a shaky defence.

Jack Stephens remains suspended, while Jan Bednarek is fit again after recovering from a knee injury. Interim manager Simon Rusk may opt for a strong lineup to try and restore confidence.

Last Southampton Lineup

Here is how Southampton lined up for their last match:

Liverpool Recent Form

Liverpool have been consistent, though they enter this match following back-to-back draws.

After a 2-2 stalemate against Fulham, they will look to bounce back. In the EFL Cup, Arne Slot's side have comfortably dispatched West Ham and Brighton.

Injury and Team News

Andrew Robertson is suspended after his red card against Fulham, but Alexis Mac Allister returns from suspension.

Ibrahima Konaté, Conor Bradley, and Kostas Tsimikas remain sidelined. Caoimhin Kelleher may continue in goal to give Alisson a rest, and Arne Slot could rotate his forward line.

Last Liverpool Lineup

Here is how Liverpool lined up for their last match:

Southampton Player To Watch

Adam Armstrong - The striker's energy and creativity are crucial for Southampton's attacking play. If he can find pockets of space, he could trouble Liverpool's defence.

27 yrs - F (CR) - Southampton
63 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
856
Played matches
13
2
1
Shots P90
2.00
Shots On target P90
0.74
Successful passing %
84%
Final third passes P90
8.20

Liverpool Player To Watch

Diogo Jota - Jota returned to the scoresheet against Fulham and will look to build on that performance. His movement and poaching ability make him a constant threat.

28 yrs - F (CL) - Liverpool
78
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
508
Played matches
8
3
2
Shots P90
2.48
Shots On target P90
0.53
Successful passing %
68%
Final third passes P90
9.74

Prediction

Given Southampton's poor form and managerial uncertainty, Liverpool's quality should shine through. Expect goals in this fixture.

Our Prediction: Southampton 1-4 Liverpool

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Liverpool to Win and Over 2.5 Goals - Liverpool's attacking depth combined with Southampton's defensive issues suggests a high-scoring affair.

Tip 2

Diogo Jota to Score Anytime - Jota is in form and thrives in cup competitions.

Tip 3

Both Teams to Score - Despite their struggles, Southampton may capitalise on any Liverpool rotation at the back.

Match statistics

Southampton
Statistics
Liverpool
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
5
16
Draws
2
3
Losses
13
1
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
21
45
Goals Per Game
1.05
2.25
More > 2.5 Goals
10
12
More > 3 Goals
9
8
Scored First in a Match
7
14
Scored Both Halves
3
9
Won More > 1 Goal
1
8
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
42
17
Did Not Score
7
1
Both Teams Scored
11
10
Kept Clean Sheet
2
9
Won Without Conceding
2
9
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
684
705
Possession
53
57
Passes
507
532
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
9.60
16
Shots on Target
3.63
7.00
Goals out of Shots
0.10
0.15
Crosses
15
17
Offsides
2.13
2.20
Penalties
0.05
0.25
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.10
0.45
Tackles Won
8.19
10.00
Clearances
22
14
Interceptions
7.63
8.50
Own Goals
0.05
0.05
Aerials Won
8.38
9.83
Total Shots Conceded
17
11
Shots on Target Conceded
6.00
3.85
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.15
0.08
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
11
Yellow Cards
3.05
2.25
Red Cards
0.15
0.05