Southampton SOU Archer (8'), Aribo (28')
2 - 3
-
Full Time
Leicester LEI Buonanotte (64'), Vardy (Pen 74'), Ayew (90+8)

Match preview

Southampton vs Leicester Prediction: Relegation six-pointer at St Mary's

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming Premier League match between Southampton and Leicester this weekend.

 
5:00am on Saturday 19th October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Southampton and Leicester City clash in a vital Premier League showdown at St Mary's this weekend, with both teams eager to secure points in their fight for survival.

Both newly-promoted sides have struggled to find form, making this fixture a crucial battle in their respective seasons. The Saints are desperate to avoid setting a new club record for the longest winless run in the top flight, while the Foxes are keen to break their poor away form. Here's a detailed preview of the upcoming match:

Southampton Recent Form

Southampton's recent Premier League form has been concerning, as they have failed to secure a win in their last 20 top-flight matches, dating back to the last season they were in the league.

Currently sitting 19th in the table, they’ve struggled to convert possession into goals, scoring just four times this campaign, which equates to the lowest in the league. In their last match, they showed some promise by taking the lead against Arsenal but ultimately fell to a 3-1 defeat, extending their poor run of results.

Injury and Team News

Southampton will be without the suspended Jack Stephens, who serves the second match of his two-game ban. Striker Ross Stewart will also miss out due to a muscular injury picked up against Arsenal, while Gavin Bazunu remains a long-term absentee.

However, Kamaldeen Sulemana and Will Smallbone are available again, providing a much-needed boost for the Saints.

Last Southampton Lineup

Here is how Southampton lined up for their last match:

Leicester Recent Form

Leicester City have experienced a mixed bag of results, sitting in 15th place in the league. Their recent 1-0 victory over Bournemouth ended a lengthy winless streak, and Steve Cooper's side will be hoping to carry that momentum into this match.

However, the Foxes' away form has been dire, with no wins in their last 11 Premier League games on the road, a run that dates back to February 2023.

Injury and Team News

Leicester head into the match with relatively few injury concerns. Jannik Vestergaard is set to return after his involvement with Denmark, while Patson Daka and Jakub Stolarczyk remain sidelined with ankle injuries.

Hamza Choudhury is a long-term absentee after dislocating his shoulder earlier in the season.

Last Leicester Lineup

Here is how Leicester lined up for their last match:

Southampton vs Leicester - Who is the Referee and VAR?

Here are the confirmed on-field referees and VAR for the game:

Referee: Anthony Taylor.

Assistants: Gary Beswick, Adam Nunn.

Fourth official: Simon Hooper.

VAR: Alex Chilowicz.

Assistant VAR: Simon Bennett.

Southampton Player To Watch

Cameron Archer will be key for Southampton in this match. He opened the scoring against Arsenal with a fine finish and remains one of the few bright spots in their struggling attack. His ability to make runs behind the defence and take advantage of Leicester’s shaky backline could be crucial.

22 yrs - S (C) - Southampton
69
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
218
Played matches
6
1
0
Shots P90
2.87
Shots On target P90
1.60
Successful passing %
82%
Final third passes P90
4.79

Leicester Player To Watch

For Leicester, Jamie Vardy remains the one to watch. He has an excellent record against Southampton, with 12 direct goal involvements (eight goals and four assists) throughout his career. His experience and finishing ability could prove decisive in this crucial encounter.

37 yrs - S (C) - Leicester
59
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
577
Played matches
7
2
0
Shots P90
0.78
Shots On target P90
0.47
Successful passing %
67%
Final third passes P90
4.37

Prediction

Both teams are in desperate need of points, but given their recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities, a tight contest is expected.

Southampton will be encouraged by their battling performance against Arsenal, while Leicester will look to build on their win over Bournemouth. A draw seems the most likely outcome.

Our Prediction: Southampton 1-1 Leicester City

Betting Tips

Tip 1: Both Teams to Score

Neither side has been particularly solid defensively, and with both desperate for points, expect both teams to find the back of the net.

Tip 2: Jamie Vardy Anytime Scorer

Given his strong record against Southampton, Vardy is a good bet to get on the scoresheet, especially considering Southampton's defensive frailties.

Tip 3: Under 2.5 Goals

Despite both teams needing a win, neither has been prolific in front of goal, making a low-scoring match a plausible outcome.

Match statistics

Southampton
Statistics
Leicester
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
8
8
Draws
3
4
Losses
9
8
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
25
32
Goals Per Game
1.25
1.60
More > 2.5 Goals
12
12
More > 3 Goals
7
7
Scored First in a Match
10
7
Scored Both Halves
2
8
Won More > 1 Goal
3
4
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
32
26
Did Not Score
7
5
Both Teams Scored
11
11
Kept Clean Sheet
4
5
Won Without Conceding
2
5
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
731
580
Possession
58
42
Passes
553
371
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
12
12
Shots on Target
4.11
4.30
Goals out of Shots
0.10
0.14
Crosses
14
13
Offsides
2.53
2.06
Penalties
0.05
0.10
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.20
0.25
Tackles Won
9.00
13
Clearances
22
31
Interceptions
8.14
7.57
Own Goals
0.05
0.05
Aerials Won
8.71
14
Total Shots Conceded
13
13
Shots on Target Conceded
4.80
4.89
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.12
0.10
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
10
11
Yellow Cards
2.25
1.85
Red Cards
0.05
0.05

Injuries

  1. Calf Injury image description
  2. Achilles Tendon Rupture image description
  3. Ankle Injury image description
  4. Shoulder Injury image description
  5. Ankle Injury image description

Suspended

  1. image description