Italy ITA Retegui (Pen 41'), Di Lorenzo (54', 79'), Frattesi (72')
4 - 1
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Match preview

Italy vs Israel Prediction: UEFA Nations League

Here is the prediction and preview for the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Italy and Israel taking place tonight.

 
12:02pm on Monday 14th October 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Italy will look to consolidate their lead at the top of League A Group 2 as they face Israel in the UEFA Nations League. After a dramatic 2-2 draw against Belgium in their last outing, Italy will be determined to return to winning ways. Meanwhile, Israel, who remain winless in the competition, will hope for an improbable upset.

Italy Recent Form

Italy’s form has shown improvement after a challenging start to the Nations League. They began the campaign with a 2-1 win over France and followed it up with a victory against Israel. However, a 2-2 draw against Belgium in their most recent game, where they played with ten men for much of it, has kept their momentum intact as they remain unbeaten in the group. Italy currently leads the table with seven points.

Injury and Team News

Italy will be without Lorenzo Pellegrini due to suspension after his red card against Belgium. Additionally, several key players are sidelined with injuries, including Federico Chiesa, Nicolo Barella, Moise Kean, and Gianluca Scamacca.

Daniel Maldini could make his international debut, with Giacomo Raspadori likely partnering Mateo Retegui in attack.

Last Italy Lineup

Here is how Italy lined up for their last match against Belgium:

Israel Recent Form

Israel has struggled in this Nations League campaign, suffering three consecutive losses. They have conceded heavily, losing 4-1 to France in their most recent match. They also lost 2-1 to Italy and 3-1 to Belgium.

Israel currently sits at the bottom of the group with no points and are on course for a likely relegation to League B.

Injury and Team News

Israel will be without captain Eli Dasa, Dor Turgeman, and Manor Solomon, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury.

Oscar Gloukh and Omri Gandelman are expected to provide support for lone striker Tai Baribo, who will lead the line.

Last Israel Lineup

Here is how Israel lined up for their last match against France:

Italy Player to Watch

Mateo Retegui has been in fine form for Italy, scoring in the recent draw against Belgium. His sharpness in front of goal makes him a key player for the Azzurri in this fixture.

25 yrs - ST (C) - Atalanta
77
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
165
Played matches
3
1
1
Shots P90
Shots On target P90
Successful passing %
0%
Final third passes P90

Israel Player to Watch

Oscar Gloukh has been one of Israel's brightest talents. His creativity and ability to unlock defences will be crucial if Israel are to mount any serious threat to Italy.

Prediction

Given the disparity in form and quality between the two sides, Italy should be able to secure a comfortable win. However, Israel could get on the scoresheet, as they have in each of their matches so far.

Our Prediction: Italy 2-1 Israel

Betting Tips

Tip 1: Italy to win

Italy’s overall form and home advantage make them the favourites in this fixture.

Tip 2: Both teams to score

Despite Italy’s defensive strengths, Israel has shown they can score, even against stronger opponents.

Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, making the over 2.5 goals bet a reasonable choice.

Match statistics

Italy
Statistics
Israel
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
10
6
Draws
4
6
Losses
6
8
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
35
26
Goals Per Game
1.75
1.30
More > 2.5 Goals
12
14
More > 3 Goals
7
6
Scored First in a Match
11
9
Scored Both Halves
6
4
Won More > 1 Goal
5
1
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
27
34
Did Not Score
3
2
Both Teams Scored
13
16
Kept Clean Sheet
5
2
Won Without Conceding
4
2
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
-
-
Possession
-
-
Passes
-
-
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
13
13
Shots on Target
4.00
4.17
Goals out of Shots
0.13
0.15
Crosses
-
-
Offsides
2.24
2.25
Penalties
0.05
0.15
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.25
0.10
Tackles Won
-
-
Clearances
-
-
Interceptions
-
-
Own Goals
0.05
0.05
Aerials Won
-
-
Total Shots Conceded
11
12
Shots on Target Conceded
4.37
5.33
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.14
0.13
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
9.89
Yellow Cards
1.80
2.05
Red Cards
0.05
0.05