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Everton vs Chelsea Prediction: Toffees have a good home record against the Blues in recent seasons

Here is our prediction and preview fr the upcoming Premier League game between Everton and Chelsea taking place this weekend.

 
12:42pm on Friday 20th December 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Everton will host Chelsea at Goodison Park in what promises to be a compelling Premier League clash. Historically, Everton have enjoyed strong home form against the Blues, winning five of their last six league meetings on Merseyside.

Despite Chelsea's superior overall form this season, Sean Dyche’s side have shown defensive resilience on home turf and will be eager to frustrate their high-flying visitors.

Chelsea, under Enzo Maresca, come into this fixture as favourites, backed by a 54% win probability (according to the Opta supercomputer). The Blues have been prolific in front of goal, but Goodison Park has proven a difficult ground for them in recent seasons.

With Everton fighting to distance themselves from the relegation zone and Chelsea aiming to keep up the pace in the title race, this encounter could be a tightly contested affair.

Everton Recent Form

Everton's home form has shown significant improvement since their shaky start to the season. After losing their first two home matches, conceding three goals in each, they’ve gone unbeaten in their last five at Goodison Park (2 wins, 3 draws).

Sean Dyche's men have proven resilient defensively, keeping three clean sheets and conceding only twice during this stretch. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by their six clean sheets this season, second only to, ironically...Liverpool.

Injury and Team News

Everton will be without James Garner and Tim Iroegbunam. Dwight McNeil missed the last match against Arsenal due to a knee injury and remains doubtful. Youssef Chermiti is also unlikely to feature.

Last Everton Lineup

Here is how the team lined up for their last match:

Chelsea Recent Form

Chelsea come into this fixture in excellent form, winning five consecutive Premier League matches. Since the start of May, no team has scored more goals (51), won more matches (15), or earned more points (49) than the Blues.

On the road, they are the best-performing team this season, with six away wins and 23 goals scored in just eight away matches.

Injury and Team News

Chelsea are missing Marc Cucurella (suspension) and Mykhailo Mudryk (provisional suspension). Reece James and Wesley Fofana remain sidelined through injury, while the availability of Benoît Badiashile, Carney Chukwuemeka, and Ben Chilwell remains uncertain.

Last Chelsea Lineup

Here is how the team lined up for their last match:

Everton vs Chelsea - Who is the Referee and VAR?

Here are the confirmed officials for the match:

Referee: Chris Kavanagh.

Assistants: Richard West, Tim Wood.

Fourth official: Tom Bramall.

VAR: Graham Scott.

Assistant VAR: Scott Ledger.

Everton Player to Watch

Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be key for the Toffees. His aerial prowess and physicality can trouble Chelsea's defence, especially on set-pieces.

27 yrs - S (C) - Everton
74 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
1166
Played matches
15
2
1
Shots P90
2.62
Shots On target P90
1.08
Successful passing %
62%
Final third passes P90
8.10

Chelsea Player to Watch

Cole Palmer has been Chelsea's standout performer. He has contributed significantly with goals and assists and remains the creative heartbeat of the team.

22 yrs - AM (CR) - Chelsea
97
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
1392
Played matches
16
11
6
Shots P90
3.69
Shots On target P90
1.62
Successful passing %
81%
Final third passes P90
17.78

Prediction

Despite Everton’s solid home record against Chelsea, the Blues' current form and attacking threat give them the edge. Expect a tightly contested match, but Chelsea might narrowly prevail.

Our Prediction: 1-2 to Chelsea

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Chelsea to Win - Based on their strong away form and the Opta prediction of a 54.0% chance of victory.

Tip 2

Both Teams to Score - Everton have been resilient at home, and Chelsea’s defence has shown vulnerabilities.

Tip 3

Cole Palmer to Score or Assist - Given his involvement in over 100 goal attempts this season, Palmer is a reliable bet for a goal contribution.

Recent Ratings

Next Game

76
Everton
VS
90
Chelsea
  Average Match Rating  
6.3
  Home  
7.0
6.3
  Away  
6.6
6.3
  Total  
6.8

Match statistics

Everton
Statistics
Chelsea
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
5
13
Draws
7
4
Losses
8
3
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
21
53
Goals Per Game
1.05
2.65
More > 2.5 Goals
9
14
More > 3 Goals
5
7
Scored First in a Match
10
9
Scored Both Halves
1
8
Won More > 1 Goal
3
8
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
25
22
Did Not Score
8
1
Both Teams Scored
8
14
Kept Clean Sheet
8
5
Won Without Conceding
4
5
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
545
702
Possession
41
57
Passes
355
521
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
12
17
Shots on Target
3.84
6.44
Goals out of Shots
0.10
0.13
Crosses
17
17
Offsides
3.11
1.79
Penalties
0.05
0.15
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.40
0.25
Tackles Won
11
10.00
Clearances
23
16
Interceptions
8.78
8.21
Own Goals
0.00
0.05
Aerials Won
15
11
Total Shots Conceded
13
11
Shots on Target Conceded
4.10
4.19
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.09
0.11
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
12
Yellow Cards
1.90
3.13
Red Cards
0.05
0.00

Injuries

  1. Back Injury image description
  2. Unknown image description
  3. Foot Injury image description
  4. Knee Injury image description
  5. Hamstring image description
  6. Hamstring image description
  7. Hamstring image description
  8. Hamstring image description
  9. Hamstring image description

Suspended

  1. image description