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Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction: London derby could signify end of Gunner's title hopes

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming Premier League match between Chelsea and Arsenal taking place this weekend.

 
11:04am on Friday 8th November 2024
By
Jake Skudder

This Sunday’s Premier League clash sees Chelsea take on Arsenal at Stamford Bridge, as both sides vie for critical points in the race for European qualification. Chelsea's recent dominance in the Conference League contrasts with Arsenal's recent struggles in both domestic and European competitions, setting the stage for an intense London derby.

With Arsenal seven points adrift from the top, a loss here could significantly hinder their title aspirations.

Chelsea's Recent Form

Following their remarkable 8-0 thrashing of FC Noah in the Conference League, Chelsea enter this clash on the back of strong performances in Europe.

Despite struggling to keep clean sheets domestically, they remain unbeaten at Stamford Bridge in all competitions this season.

Enzo Maresca's team are currently fourth in the league with an impressive unbeaten home streak.

Injury and Team News

Chelsea manager Maresca will be hopeful for the return of key player Cole Palmer, who missed their midweek fixture due to a knock.

Jadon Sancho remains questionable, and Omari Kellyman is ruled out with a hamstring injury.

For Arsenal, Declan Rice, who has been pivotal in their midfield, remains doubtful, while Martin Odegaard could make his first starting return after an ankle injury. Takehiro Tomiyasu and Kieran Tierney are unavailable for Arsenal.

Last Chelsea Lineup

Here is how Chelsea lined up for their previous match:

Arsenal's Recent Form

Arsenal's form has dipped in recent weeks with a 1-0 defeat against Inter Milan and a controversial loss at Newcastle.

Mikel Arteta’s men have struggled to find the net in recent outings, falling to fifth in the Premier League standings and experiencing a three-game winless streak.

However, Arsenal have won their last six London derbies, and Stamford Bridge has been a favourable ground for them in recent years.

Injury and Team News

Arsenal will likely be without Rice, though Odegaard's return brings hope to their creativity crisis.

Former Chelsea player Kai Havertz faces a potential absence after a head injury, while defensive players like Tomiyasu and Tierney remain sidelined.

Last Arsenal Lineup

Here is how Arsenal lined up for their previous match:

Chelsea vs Arsenal - Referee and VAR

The confirmed match officials for Sunday’s game:

Referee: Michael Oliver.

Assistants: Stuart Burt, James Mainwaring.

Fourth official: Andy Madley.

VAR: Paul Tierney.

Assistant VAR: Richard West.

Chelsea Player to Watch

In the absence of Palmer, Christopher Nkunku, who netted twice in their recent European fixture, will be a crucial player to watch as he looks to challenge Arsenal’s defence with his attacking prowess.

26 yrs - S, AM (C) - Chelsea
67
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
152
Played matches
9
1
0
Shots P90
4.14
Shots On target P90
1.78
Successful passing %
94%
Final third passes P90
26.05

Arsenal Player to Watch

Martin Odegaard’s return from injury could play a vital role for the Gunners in their attempt to control the midfield and create scoring opportunities against Chelsea's shaky defence at home.

25 yrs - M (C) - Arsenal
84 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
254
Played matches
3
0
0
Shots P90
1.06
Shots On target P90
0.71
Successful passing %
81%
Final third passes P90
20.20

Prediction

Given Arsenal’s recent attacking struggles and Chelsea's unbeaten home record, a draw appears the most probable outcome.

Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities, but Arsenal may lack the finishing edge to secure a win.

Our prediction: Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal

Betting Tips

Tip 1: Both Teams to Score - Yes

With both teams struggling defensively, a bet on both teams finding the net could pay off.

Tip 2: Chelsea or Draw (Double Chance)

Chelsea’s strong home record makes a double chance bet on them avoiding defeat a solid choice.

Tip 3: Under 2.5 Goals

Considering Arsenal's recent scoring issues and Chelsea’s defensive lapses, a lower-scoring game is likely.

Recent Ratings

Next Game

90
Chelsea
VS
88
Arsenal
  Average Match Rating  
7.0
  Home  
7.7
6.6
  Away  
7.1
6.8
  Total  
7.4

Match statistics

Chelsea
Statistics
Arsenal
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
13
13
Draws
3
4
Losses
4
3
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
51
37
Goals Per Game
2.55
1.85
More > 2.5 Goals
13
9
More > 3 Goals
7
6
Scored First in a Match
9
12
Scored Both Halves
7
6
Won More > 1 Goal
8
8
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
23
16
Did Not Score
2
4
Both Teams Scored
13
8
Kept Clean Sheet
5
9
Won Without Conceding
5
8
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
701
623
Possession
56
51
Passes
514
445
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
14
15
Shots on Target
5.60
5.35
Goals out of Shots
0.15
0.14
Crosses
16
18
Offsides
1.75
2.06
Penalties
0.05
0.05
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.25
0.45
Tackles Won
9.70
11
Clearances
20
18
Interceptions
8.31
8.06
Own Goals
0.10
0.00
Aerials Won
11
14
Total Shots Conceded
13
11
Shots on Target Conceded
4.40
3.00
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.10
0.09
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
12
Yellow Cards
3.20
1.95
Red Cards
0.07
0.05

Injuries

  1. Hamstring image description
  2. Knock image description
  3. Hamstring image description
  4. Knee Injury image description
  5. Knee Injury image description