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Brighton vs Southampton Prediction: Friday Night Premier League football

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming Friday Night Premier League match between Brighton and Southampton.

 
10:27am on Thursday 28th November 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Brighton & Hove Albion host Southampton in a Premier League clash under the lights at the Amex Stadium this Friday. Both teams are chasing contrasting goals, with Brighton pushing for European football and Southampton fighting to avoid the drop.

Brighton Recent Form

Brighton are flying high, sitting fifth in the league after a series of strong performances. A recent 2-1 win over Bournemouth added to their tally, making it four wins in their last six Premier League matches.

Brighton's home form is equally impressive, as they remain unbeaten at the Amex this season, with 12 points from six matches.

Southampton Recent Form

Southampton, by contrast, are struggling at the foot of the table. Their most recent game, a 3-2 defeat to Liverpool, exposed their defensive vulnerabilities.

They’ve now suffered 10 losses in 12 matches, scoring the league's fewest goals (9) while conceding 27 times.

Injury and Team News

Brighton will be without several key players, including James Milner and Solly March. Doubts remain over Lewis Dunk, Adam Webster, and Tariq Lamptey, while Carlos Baleba is suspended. Southampton’s injury woes include Aaron Ramsdale, Jan Bednarek, and Ross Stewart, with former Brighton man Adam Lallana also likely to miss out.

Last Brighton Lineup

Here is how Brighton lined up in their last match:

Last Southampton Lineup

Here is how Southampton lined up in their last match:

Brighton vs Southampton - Who Is the Referee and VAR?

Referee: Rob Jones

Assistants: Neil Davies, Nick Hopton.

Fourth official: John Busby.

VAR: Jarred Gillett.

Assistant VAR: Stuart Burt.

Brighton Player to Watch

Kaoru Mitoma continues to be Brighton's talisman, contributing decisively in recent matches. His pace and creativity make him a constant threat down the flanks.

27 yrs - AM, DM (L) - Brighton
78 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
1010
Played matches
12
2
2
Shots P90
2.05
Shots On target P90
0.89
Successful passing %
80%
Final third passes P90
15.06

Southampton Player to Watch

Adam Armstrong is the Saints’ key attacking outlet, scoring in their previous outing against Liverpool. His form will be critical to Southampton's survival hopes.

27 yrs - F (CR) - Southampton
60 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
532
Played matches
9
2
1
Shots P90
2.54
Shots On target P90
1.02
Successful passing %
85%
Final third passes P90
9.64

Prediction

Given Brighton’s impressive home form and Southampton’s defensive frailties, this looks set to be another fruitful outing for the Seagulls. We predict a 3-1 victory for Brighton.

Betting Tips

Tip 1

Brighton to win: With Brighton's unbeaten home record and superior form, backing them to win is a solid bet.

Tip 2

Over 2.5 goals: Both teams have shown tendencies to concede, making a high-scoring game likely.

Tip 3

Kaoru Mitoma to score anytime: The Japanese forward’s recent performances suggest he’ll be pivotal in this encounter.

Match statistics

Brighton
Statistics
Southampton
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
9
7
Draws
5
2
Losses
6
11
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
33
24
Goals Per Game
1.65
1.20
More > 2.5 Goals
14
10
More > 3 Goals
7
8
Scored First in a Match
11
9
Scored Both Halves
6
3
Won More > 1 Goal
2
2
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
29
33
Did Not Score
3
7
Both Teams Scored
13
11
Kept Clean Sheet
5
3
Won Without Conceding
4
2
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
679
708
Possession
54
55
Passes
491
528
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
14
11
Shots on Target
4.90
3.70
Goals out of Shots
0.13
0.11
Crosses
19
15
Offsides
2.00
2.27
Penalties
0.00
0.10
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.25
0.15
Tackles Won
9.17
8.50
Clearances
18
23
Interceptions
7.94
7.42
Own Goals
0.00
0.05
Aerials Won
11
8.42
Total Shots Conceded
12
15
Shots on Target Conceded
4.85
5.25
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.13
0.13
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
11
11
Yellow Cards
2.25
2.95
Red Cards
0.00
0.10

Injuries

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  2. Knee Injury image description
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  7. Knee Injury image description
  8. Hamstring image description
  9. Achilles Tendon Rupture image description
  10. Knock image description
  11. Knock image description
  12. Hamstring image description
  13. Calf Injury image description

Suspended

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In suspension danger

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