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Brighton vs Brentford Prediction: Premier League Boxing Day

Here is our prediction and preview for the upcoming Premier League game between Brighton and Brentford taking place on Boxing Day.

 
6:15am on Wednesday 25th December 2024
By
Jake Skudder

Brighton & Hove Albion face Brentford on Boxing Day in a crucial Premier League clash at the Amex Stadium. Both teams come into this fixture seeking to reverse their fortunes after recent struggles.

With European qualification aspirations still in sight, Brighton will aim to take advantage of Brentford's poor away form. The match promises to deliver action-packed football, with goals likely to be a feature given both teams' defensive frailties.

Brighton Recent Form

Brighton are winless in their last five matches, a streak including two defeats and three draws. Their last outing, a 1-1 draw against West Ham, highlighted their inability to maintain defensive solidity.

Despite dominating possession in games, the Seagulls have struggled to convert chances into victories. A win here is critical to stay in the hunt for a European spot.

Injury and Team News

Brighton may welcome back Danny Welbeck from an ankle injury. Jack Hinshelwood and Ferdi Kadioglu are also possible inclusions, while other key players remain fit to feature.

Last Brighton Lineup

Here is how Brighton lined up in their last match against West Ham:

Brentford Recent Form

Brentford's recent run has been concerning, with four losses in their last five games. The Bees' away form has been particularly poor, as they remain winless on the road this season.

Despite this, their attack, led by Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa, remains a threat, having combined for 19 league goals.

Injury and Team News

Brentford's Mathias Jensen could return to action following a thigh injury. However, Aaron Hickey, Rico Henry, and Ethan Pinnock remain sidelined, weakening their defensive options.

Last Brentford Lineup

Here is how Brentford lined up in their last match against Nottingham Forest:

Brighton vs Brentford - Who is the Referee and VAR?

Referee: Andy Madley.

Assistants: Nick Hopton, Craig Taylor.

Fourth official: John Busby.

VAR: Chris Kavanagh.

Assistant VAR: Lee Betts.

Brighton Player to Watch

Kaoru Mitoma is Brighton's creative spark, known for his electric pace and eye for goal. With Brentford's leaky defence, Mitoma’s attacking runs and ability to deliver in the final third will be crucial.

27 yrs - AM, M (L) - Brighton
80 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
1454
Played matches
17
3
2
Shots P90
1.98
Shots On target P90
0.80
Successful passing %
83%
Final third passes P90
15.10

Brentford Player to Watch

Bryan Mbeumo has been the standout performer for Brentford this season. His ability to create and finish chances makes him the Bees' most potent attacking threat.

25 yrs - F (RC) - Brentford
92 
Defending
Creative
Passing
Attacking
Shooting
Decisive
Aerials
Physical
JavaScript chart by amChartsLDefendingCreativePassingAttackingShootingDecisiveAerialsPhysical10-10-5051015100%
1527
Played matches
17
10
2
Shots P90
1.65
Shots On target P90
1.00
Successful passing %
77%
Final third passes P90
14.91

Prediction

Given both teams’ vulnerabilities at the back, expect an open and high-scoring contest. Brighton’s stronger home form gives them a slight edge, but Brentford's attacking quality could make it close. A draw or a narrow Brighton win is likely.

Our Prediction: Brighton 2 - 1 Brentford

Betting Tips

Tip 1 - Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in most of their recent fixtures.

Tip 2 - Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last six matches.

Tip 3 - Correct Score: 2-2

A balanced prediction reflecting both teams’ attacking prowess and defensive weaknesses.

Recent Ratings

Next Game

VS
  Average Match Rating  
6.6
  Home  
7.4
6.2
  Away  
6.7
6.4
  Total  
7.0

Match statistics

Brighton
Statistics
Brentford
Games Played
20
20
 
Results
 
Wins
8
9
Draws
7
2
Losses
5
9
 
Goals Scoring
 
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Per Game
1.80
1.80
More > 2.5 Goals
15
14
More > 3 Goals
10
10
Scored First in a Match
12
10
Scored Both Halves
7
6
Won More > 1 Goal
2
5
 
Other
 
Goals Conceded
31
36
Did Not Score
1
3
Both Teams Scored
16
16
Kept Clean Sheet
4
2
Won Without Conceding
3
1
Games Played
20
20
 
Possession
 
Touches
670
621
Possession
54
48
Passes
476
432
 
Attacking
 
Total Shots
15
11
Shots on Target
5.30
4.85
Goals out of Shots
0.14
0.15
Crosses
19
18
Offsides
1.93
1.94
Penalties
0.00
0.10
 
Defensive
 
Clean Sheets
0.20
0.10
Tackles Won
9.41
11
Clearances
19
27
Interceptions
8.12
7.94
Own Goals
0.05
0.00
Aerials Won
13
18
Total Shots Conceded
12
17
Shots on Target Conceded
4.45
6.10
Goals out of Shots Conceded
0.16
0.11
 
Discipline
 
Fouls
12
8.25
Yellow Cards
2.15
1.50
Red Cards
0.00
0.05

Injuries

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  2. Thigh Injury image description
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  4. Ankle Injury image description
  5. Ankle Injury image description
  6. Toe Injury image description
  7. Groin Injury image description
  8. Hamstring image description
  9. Knee Injury image description
  10. Back Injury image description
  11. Knee Injury image description
  12. Hamstring image description
  13. Knee Injury image description
  14. Ankle Injury image description
  15. Hamstring image description

In suspension danger

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